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East Carolina -4.5 over Temple (NCAAF)

Free Pick Analysis

East Carolina has a favorable opportunity to get its offense moving against a Temple defense allowing more than 400 yards per game. The Pirates produced 421 yards against Memphis in their last outing, and our expectation is that they can build on that performance at home. Establishing the run early would help ECU stay out of obvious passing situations, where sacks and turnovers have disrupted too many possessions. Against this defense, the Pirates should have opportunities to sustain drives without needing to force big plays. Temple’s rushing attack is the main concern, so East Carolina needs disciplined tackling and enough early-down stops to put the Owls behind schedule. Offensively, protecting the football and finishing promising possessions will be more important than piling up yardage. We expect the home setting and the matchup against Temple’s defense to help ECU create the separation needed to cover a number below a touchdown. Take East Carolina -4.5.

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Premier Picks® for Sunday, September 27, 2026

4 STAR★★★★
NFL

Jacksonville -2.5 over New England (NFL)

Playable range: -1 to -4.5

Why we like this pick

I like Jacksonville’s opportunity to turn New England’s early ball-security problems into an advantage at home. Drake Maye entered this game with four interceptions through two weeks, while the Jaguars had already produced three takeaways. That creates a path to shorter fields if Jacksonville’s front can apply pressure. On offense, Trevor Lawrence has capable options in Parker Washington and Jakobi Meyers, but protection against New England’s strong defensive front is essential. The Patriots are disciplined enough to keep this competitive; I’m backing Jacksonville to make the more decisive plays and cover a manageable home spread.

3 STAR★★★
NFL

Washington +8 over Seattle (NFL)

Playable range: +10 to +6

Why we like this pick

I like Washington getting more than a touchdown at home. Losing Jayden Daniels matters, but Marcus Mariota is an experienced replacement who played well in relief the previous week and is willing to challenge defenses downfield. Seattle is missing both starting safeties, Julian Love and Ty Okada, which creates an opportunity for Washington to find enough scoring plays to stay close. The Seahawks had converted only three of seven red-zone trips into touchdowns through two games. Washington’s own injuries and Seattle’s strong defense are concerns, but this number gives the Commanders room to cover without winning outright.

3 STAR★★★
NFL

Detroit -6.5 over N.Y. Jets (NFL)

Playable range: -5 to -8.5

Why we like this pick

I’m backing Detroit’s offensive balance at Ford Field, particularly with Blake Miller and Christian Mahogany trending toward a return to the line. Their presence would help the Lions establish the run and avoid obvious passing situations against a Jets defense that entered the game ranked first overall. Amon-Ra St. Brown’s strong start gives Jared Goff a dependable target to keep drives moving. The concern is Detroit’s defense, which had allowed too many explosive plays through two weeks. This pick depends on cleaner defensive execution and Detroit sustaining drives well enough to build a clear winning margin.

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