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NBA NBA · Premier Picks®4 ★ rating

Cleveland CavaliersCleveland CavaliersatAtlanta HawksAtlanta Hawks

8:00 PM ETNBA TV
NCAA Football · Premier Picks®3 ★ rating

Florida Atlantic OwlsFlorida Atlantic OwlsatNorth Texas Mean GreenNorth Texas Mean Green

7:30 PM ETESPN

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Latest Sports Betting Insights

NBA Plus-Minus: Read the Lineup Before Grading the PlayerA positive or negative plus-minus describes a scoring interval. Teammates, opponents and minutes explain why it is not an individual grade.MLB Inherited Runners: Judge the Situation, Not Just ERARelief ERA does not describe every run-prevention assignment. Record the bases, outs and matchup a pitcher inherits before comparing results.NBA Turnovers: Separate Live-Ball Damage From Dead-Ball MistakesTwo teams can post the same turnover total and create very different defensive problems. Track whether mistakes launch transition or allow the defense to reset.NFL Fourth Downs: Grade the Decision Before the ResultA conversion or stop does not prove a fourth-down choice was right or wrong. Separate field position, distance, game state and the play itself.NFL Defensive Touchdowns: Separate Scoring From Defensive ControlA pick-six can decide a game without describing every defensive possession. Track pressure, field position and sustainable stops before upgrading a defense.All Betting Reference Articles →Past Recaps & Matchup Analysis →
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Premier Picks® for Sunday, September 27, 2026

4 STAR★★★★
NFL

Jacksonville -2.5 over New England (NFL)

Playable range: -1 to -4.5

Why we like this pick

I like Jacksonville’s opportunity to turn New England’s early ball-security problems into an advantage at home. Drake Maye entered this game with four interceptions through two weeks, while the Jaguars had already produced three takeaways. That creates a path to shorter fields if Jacksonville’s front can apply pressure. On offense, Trevor Lawrence has capable options in Parker Washington and Jakobi Meyers, but protection against New England’s strong defensive front is essential. The Patriots are disciplined enough to keep this competitive; I’m backing Jacksonville to make the more decisive plays and cover a manageable home spread.

3 STAR★★★
NFL

Washington +8 over Seattle (NFL)

Playable range: +10 to +6

Why we like this pick

I like Washington getting more than a touchdown at home. Losing Jayden Daniels matters, but Marcus Mariota is an experienced replacement who played well in relief the previous week and is willing to challenge defenses downfield. Seattle is missing both starting safeties, Julian Love and Ty Okada, which creates an opportunity for Washington to find enough scoring plays to stay close. The Seahawks had converted only three of seven red-zone trips into touchdowns through two games. Washington’s own injuries and Seattle’s strong defense are concerns, but this number gives the Commanders room to cover without winning outright.

3 STAR★★★
NFL

Detroit -6.5 over N.Y. Jets (NFL)

Playable range: -5 to -8.5

Why we like this pick

I’m backing Detroit’s offensive balance at Ford Field, particularly with Blake Miller and Christian Mahogany trending toward a return to the line. Their presence would help the Lions establish the run and avoid obvious passing situations against a Jets defense that entered the game ranked first overall. Amon-Ra St. Brown’s strong start gives Jared Goff a dependable target to keep drives moving. The concern is Detroit’s defense, which had allowed too many explosive plays through two weeks. This pick depends on cleaner defensive execution and Detroit sustaining drives well enough to build a clear winning margin.

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